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Topics: manuallib, manuals, Arima
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Topics: manuallib, manuals, Arima
In this paper, I attempt to pull back the curtains from the Stock Market and figure out how the High Value in the stock market is dependent on the Open Value, Low Value, Close Value. Once that has been done, we will attempt to forecast a model of how the market would act over the next few cycles. We will convert that model into a time series and create the ARIMA model. We will then use the ARIMA model to forecast the possible values for the next cycles. Depending on the forecast values, we will...
Topics: Data Processing, ARIMA, forecast
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117
Jul 31, 2017
07/17
by
© IASET
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Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) approach has been applied for modeling and forecasting of rice production of India. Autocorrelation function (ACF) and partial autocorrelation function (PACF) functions were estimated, which led to the identification and construction of ARIMA models, for explaining the time series and forecasting the future production. A significant increasing linear trend in the total rice production in India has been found. The best identified model for the...
Topics: ARIMA, ACF, PACF, AD, SAS
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Mar 19, 2021
03/21
by
IRJASH Journal
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In India, the best embody of malaria occurred within the year 1950’s with associate calculable 75 million cases and 0.8 million deaths per Annum (World Health Organization, country office for India). The model was used for the forecasting of the year wise incidence of Malaria whereas Auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models was used for forecasting for the years 2020 and 2022 in Republic of India (Bharat) our study provides that of the ARIMA model was designated as best suited...
Topics: Time Series, ARIMA models, Malaria
Topics: manualzz, manuals, User manual, ARIMA, SW310
Vegetables are one of the cheapest sources of nutrition and have important role in fighting hunger and nutritional security. The vegetable sector is characterized by verity, not only in terms of the diversity of crops but also in terms of number of countries across the globe. Haveri district of Karnataka is a one of the major vegetable producing district. To study the growth rate of area, production and productivity of tomato, cabbage, green chilli and brinjal crops in Haveri, compound growth...
Topics: Growth Rate, Demand Estimation and ARIMA
The forecast of the production of rice over future time series in Chhattisgarh has always been a matter of concern to the planners of the State, especially being a predominantly tribal region. The present study aims at patterns of studying area, production and productivity of rice crop for Amalgamated Raipur districts of Chhattisgarh Plains over a time series from 1980 to 2015 and their forecasts for the next five years using ARIMA and double exponential methods. The forecasts undertaken were...
Topics: Amalgamated Raipur, R, AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, ARIMA (p, d, q), DASC, Forecasting, CI80%, CI95%
For past three decade Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models are one of the most talked about models used for financial prediction in time –series analysis. This paper endeavors to present the forecasting of daily stock data of State Bank of India (SBI) for a period of 2 years. Box-Jenkins methodology of developing ARIMA models is used for forecasting the stock prices. The results reveals that ARIMA (0, 1, 1) is the most suitable model found for forecasting
Topics: ARIMA Model, Stock Price, Forecasting Etc.
The Chhattisgarh Plain is one of the most important ago-climatic zone of the State of Chhattisgarh. It is the highest rice producing region in the State. Therefore, the forecast of the area, production and productivity of rice in Chhattisgarh Plains over future period is of great concern to the planners of the State. So, the present study aims at studying the patterns of area, production and productivity of rice crop for Chhattisgarh Plains over a time series from 1980 to 2015 and their...
Topics: Chhattisgarh Plains, R, AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, ARIMA(p, d, q), DASC, Forecasting & CI80% &...
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Jul 20, 2016
07/16
by
Impact Journals
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The present investigation was carried out to fit the trend in production and productivity of Rice crop data in Manipur state by using different statistical model (e. i. linear, nonlinear and time series model). The most suitable model was selected on the basis of adjusted R2, significant regression coefficient, root mean square error, mean absolute error, normality (Shapiro-Wilk test) and randomness of residual’s (Run test) distribution. Among the fitted models, time series e. i. ARIMA...
Topics: Rice, Linear and Nonlinear, ARIMA, Manipur
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Sep 24, 2013
09/13
by
Takashi Arima
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Topic: Arima, Takashi, 1931- -- Translations into English.
Onion ( Allium cepa ) family alliaceae is one of the most important commercial vegetables. It is grown in western, northern as well as in southern India. Maharashtra, Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, Orissa, Karnataka, Tamilnadu, Madhya Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh and Bihar are Major onion growing states in India. India stands 2 nd position in Onion production after China in the World. In India, Gujarat stands 2 nd position in Onion cultivation after Maharashtra state. The productivity of Onion is...
Topics: ARIMA, Forecasting, Instability, Modelling and Production
This thesis involves investigation of linear filtering models as a means of generating texture in images. Various autoregressive filter models are used to generate various textures, and the results are analyzed to determine relationships between filter parameters and texture characteristics. A two-dimensional counterpart to the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model from one-dimensional time series analysis theory is developed and tested for texture modeling applications. All...
Topics: Electrical and computer engineering, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Stationary,...
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21
Apr 12, 2019
04/19
by
Impact Journals
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The issue of supplying water that meets the demand of the population is a major problem in Ibadan city, a metropolitan town in Oyo state. Because of the fact that the supply of water by the state government does not meet the needs of the growing population. The sources of water include surface water and underground water. The surface water comes from asejire and eleyele dam, while the underground water is from boreholes. Most people have resolved to digging boreholes in their homes or buying...
Topics: Water, ARIMA Models, Stationarity, Augumented Dickey Fuller
The cryptocurrency is a decentralized digital money. Bitcoin is a digital asset designed to work as a medium of exchange using cryptography to secure the transactions, to control the creation of additional units, and to verify the transfer of assets. The objective of this study is to forecast Bitcoin exchange rate in high volatility environment. Methodology implemented in this study is forecasting using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). This study performed autocorrelation...
Topics: Cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, ARIMA model, Volatility, Error diagnostics.
A time series is a set of events, sequentially calculated over time. Predicting the Time Series is mostly about predicting the future. The ability of a time series forecasting model is determined by its success in predicting the future. This is often at the expense of being able to explain why a specific prediction was made. The Box Jenkins model implies that the time series is stationary, and thus suggests differentiating non stationary series once or several times to obtain stationary...
Topics: ARIMA, LSTM, Time series model, RMSE, MAE
Some theoretical and experimental models have been considered for the prediction of the path loss in mobile communications systems. However, one knows that in real environment, the received signal is subject to variations. The model developed for an urban area cannot give resulted acceptable for different urban areas since that, each model has different parameters in accordance with the considered area. This paper presents the results of propagation channel modeling, based on multivariate time...
Topics: ARIMA Model, Geostatistics, Kriging, Multivariate Temporal Modeling, Wireless.
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The healthcare sector is the category of stocks relating to medical and healthcare goods or services. The healthcare sector includes hospital management firms, health maintenance organizations (HMOs), biotechnology and a variety of medical products. The objective of this research paper is to forecast the performance of share price for healthcare sector in Malaysia. The research methodology implemented in this study is forecasting method using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA)....
Topics: Islamic Finance, share price, ARIMA model, Forecasting, Healthcare sector.
Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad is an institution that offers financing activity that complies with shariah (Islamic law) and its practical application through the development of Islamic economics. The objective of this study is to forecast the performance of share price for Islamic Bank in Malaysia. The method implemented in this study is autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). From the analysis, there are two model of ARIMA that developed which are ARIMA (3,1,3) and ARIMA(3,1,4). The...
Topics: Islamic banking, Islamic finance, ARIMA model, Share price, Malaysia
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Aug 28, 2015
08/15
by
IASET JOURNALS
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This work examines the role of various macro-economic factors such as GDP, inflation, exchange rate, export, import, energy generation, capital account as percentage of GDP, coal generation and trade balance in estimating the foreign direct investment (FDI) in India. The statistical approaches; Regression, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA), ARIMAX and Vector Error Correction Modeling (VECM) have been used to obtain the suitable/causal relationships within/among the variables under...
Topics: Multiple Linear Regression, Dummy Variable, ARIMA, ARIMAX, VECM, FDI Forecasts
(1) Crowds of people watch from the dock as a passenger boat departs. (2) Outdoor footage of various buildings and neighborhoods in Japan. (3) A group of dancers performs outdoors. (4) Individuals gather rocks or shells on the waterfront. (5) A helicopter flies near the Japanese flag. Individuals walk slowly up a bare hill and use hoes to plant saplings. (6) Multiple people prune shrubs and bushes and perform other gardening tasks.
Topics: Kawanishi, silent, color, 8mm, Japan, Toyama, Osaka, Arima, Kobe, dancing, gardening
A product's sustainability fails if its standard function deviates from the desired working conditions (i.e., by making an unscheduled stop), which makes less competitive. This study aims to develop a smart autonomation system via closer monitoring of the time series' forecasting model of deviation behavior to enable it to stop for maintenance when needed. The proposed methodology (Artificial Poka-yoke; APY) achieves the objective via two sequential phases focusing on improving the...
Topics: Lean Manufacturing, Poka-Yoke, ARIMA, Neural Network Model & Deviation Forecasting
The paper examined the cyclical trends, seasonal variation and seasonal adjustment of global CO2 emission from 1970 to 2018 through the application of Hamilton regression filter model. ARIMA (4,0,0) forecasting model for 2030 has been added with the Hamilton filter model and observed that the new model is stable, stationary and significant in which volatility is being minimised and the heteroscedasticity problem is totally disappeared.
Topics: CO2 emission, Hamilton filter, seasonal adjustment, cyclical trend, ARIMA forecasting.
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Mar 31, 2021
03/21
by
Muhammad Akram Shaari, Ruhaidah Samsudin, Ani Shabri Ilman
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Drought forecasting is important in preparing for drought and its mitigation plan. This study focuses on the investigating the performance of Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Empirical Wavelet Transform (EWT)-ARIMA based on clustering analysis in forecasting drought using Standard Precipitation Index (SPI). Daily rainfall data from Arau, Perlis from 1956 to 2008 was used in this study. SPI data of 3, 6, 9, 12 and 24 months were then calculated using the rainfall data. EWT...
Topics: ARIMA, Drought forecasting, Empirical wavelet transform, Fuzzy c-means clustering, SPI
Mendeley Climate Change Library
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Jul 6, 2019
07/19
by
Xueke Li; Chuanrong Zhang; Weidong Li; Richard O. Anyah; Jing Tian
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Human activities-related aerosol emissions and CO 2 emissions originate from many of the common sources. Identifying the aerosol variations and the underling determinates can provide insights into united mitigation policy controls targeting on both aerosol pollution and climate change. Long-term trend analysis and modeling offers an effective way to fully appreciate how aerosols interlink with carbon cycle and climate change. This study analyzes the current trends, models the future...
Topics: ARIMA, Aerosol optical depth, Climate change mitigation, MODIS C6, Time series
The impact of steady increase in surface air temperature on climate change is a serious topic of today’s discussion. This study deals with the trend analysis and time series analysis and its future forecasts of surface air temperature of Kolkata district of West Bengal state, India during 1901 2002. The mean of annual average, maximum and minimum surface air temperature 0C of last 102 years are respectively 26.73, 31.26 and 22.23 with 1.27 , 1.28 and 1.73 coefficients of variation. A non...
Topics: Mann-Kendall Trend Test, Innovative Trend Test, Sen’s slope, Time Series, ARIMA
Influenza A H1N1 incidence in India, which is a highly contagious acute respiratory disease in humans caused by type A influenza virus. This study employs retrospective comparative study of the data from National Centre for Disease Control CDC yearly reports from April 2010 to April 2019. The case fatality rates of Influenza A H1N1 incidence in India was forecasted using autoregressive integrated moving average ARIMA models in order to build a predictive tool for Influenza A H1N1 surveillance....
Topics: ARIMA, case fatality rate (CFR), contagious, forecasts, Influenza A (H1N1), predictive tool
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May 6, 2016
05/16
by
IJOER Engineering journal
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Time series model is a hotspot in the research of statistics. On November 11, 2015, Tmall platform’s turnover was more than $91.2 billion which caused the attention of scholars both at home and abroad. So this paper aims to forecast sales of Tmall , which is helpful to the enterprises . Research methods are ARIMA model and VAR model. The first model is single - variable model and the later is multi-variable model. In the study, ARIMA model makes the sequence smooth by using two difference...
Topics: ARIMA model, VAR model, Sales forecast, engineering journal, International Journal, Journal,...
The analysis and prediction of personnel loss behavior is critical to effective manpower planning and to the U.S. Army's Enlisted Personnel Strength Management System (EPSMS). In support of efforts to modernize the EPSMS, this thesis examines the method by which the Enlisted Loss Inventory Model (ELIM) analyzes loss rates and forecasts them into the future. Time series analysis techniques seek to identify patterns in data and forecast them into the future via time based extrapolations. Four...
Topics: Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, ELIM-COMPLIP, Loss Rates, Exponential Smoothing, Winter's...
Naval Postgraduate School
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Apr 26, 2019
04/19
by
Chonko, Aaron W.; Heiliger, Padraic T.; Rudge, Travis W.
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The Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) predicts issue and receipt workload for its distribution agency in order to maintain adequate staffing levels and set proper rates for customers. Inaccurate forecasts lead to inaccurate staffing, subsequently leading to inaccurate pricing. DLA’s current regression forecasting model is no longer adequate for predicting future workload for DLA Distribution. We explore multiple forecasting techniques and provide a methodology for selecting a model that is a...
Topics: Defense Logistics Agency, workload forecasting, distribution forecasting, forecasting, ARIMA,...
Information theory was used to qualify the difficulty of verbal discrimination (VD) learning tasks and to measure VD performance. Words for VD items were selected with high background frequency and equal a priori probabilities of being selected as a first response. Three VD lists containing only 2-, 3-, or 4-word items were created and equated for information content at approximately 20 bits. Lists were presented for 6 trials at 1.5 or 3.0 sec. per item with 20 Ss per list. Only correct...
Topics: ERIC Archive, Data Analysis, Discrimination Learning, Information Theory, Task Performance, Verbal...
Plan International is working globally in more than 70 countries for the benefit of the rights of children and girls. Present study is an effort to analyze the Twitter profile of Plan International Headquarter and few regional offices for the period from July 2014 to June 2016. Social media is used by many commercial organizations to communicate their work or promoting their products to prospective customers. For the study 6 regional offices of Plan International were studies namely IH...
Topics: ARIMA Model, NGO, Twitter Followers, Engagement Rate, Education, End FGM, Child Rights, End to...
The incentive value of the Navy Campus for Achievement (NCFA) for recruiting was evaluated using unobtrusive measures. Recruiter demand for a recruiting aid (brochure) solely featuring NCFA was compared against the demand for the most popular enlisted and officer aids. A Time magazine and TV Guide ad featuring NCFA was compared against other ads in Time and TV Guide over a 3-year period by the rate of return of coupons accompanying the ads. The material featuring NCFA compared as well or better...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *RECRUITING, *NAVAL...
The 1980 URL Feedback Survey was a questionnaire enclosed and forwarded with change-of-station orders issued to Navy line officers in the spring and summer of 1980. The purpose of the questionnaire were (1) to elicit perceptions of the detailing process as a feedback to the officer distribution systems; and (2) to study officer attitudes about the new assignments and their perceived impact on individual careers according to their place in the career development process. This initial report...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *NAVAL PERSONNEL, *OFFICER...
This study compared a performance-based, culture-free, learning test with a psychometric test battery, the Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery (ASVAB), for assessing individual differences among high-school students. Ethnic background (white-nonwhite) and sex were additional parameters. While negligible differences were found on the learning test between groups differentiated on ethnic background or sex, significant differences favoring white and males were found on the Armed Forces...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *PERSONNEL SELECTION,...
The aim of this study to compare forecasting abilities of two time series models: Univariate autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous variable, (ARIMAX). A stochastic time series model for live births series in Nigeria was built, starting from an identified univariate ARIMA model. The first step in formulating the ARIMAX model for the series was to identify a suitable ARIMA model for such series. ARIMAX time series model is a...
Topics: Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average...
Five papers representing different frames of reference examine the question 'What is Military Psychology?' Their objective is to ferret out the unique aspects of psychology as its is practiced in the military environment that differentiate it from research in, and applications of, psychology in other settings. The purpose in doing this is to sharpen the focus and improve the products of military psychology. Areas examined cover (1) human-machine systems, (2) military personnel, training, and...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *SYMPOSIA, *MILITARY...
Weapon systems have at least a material component and a human component. Evaluation of the operational effectiveness of weapon systems must fully involve both components. The evaluation situation must be tactically realistic, personnel who normally man the system should be used, and there should be an attempt to stress the participants. To accomplish these goals, adequate information and response loads must be provided participants, over- control should be avoided, and player and...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima, James K, LITTON SCIENTIFIC SUPPORT LAB FORT ORD CA, *HUMAN FACTORS...
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NEWSLINE updates viewers with the latest hard news every hour, covering world events and business-related news, as well as providing global weather forecasts.
Topics: china, russia, nhk, singapore, u.n., manila, greece, moscow, beijing, philippines, north korea,...
Source: Off-Air Channel 43
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News/Business. World events, business news and weather forecasts; broadcast in English. (CC) (Stereo)
Topics: nhk, russia, china, singapore, greece, washington, manila, tokyo, nissan, north korea, europe,...
Source: Comcast
The reaction of Navy line officers to the detailing process by which they receive new assignments was examined from the standpoint of the emphasis they thought should be placed on the needs of the service, career needs, and their personal desires, their billet preferences for the new assignment, their career intentions, and the information sources used to ascertain available assignments. These are contrasted with their evaluation of the actual emphasis they found to be placed on Navy, career,...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *JOBS, *CAREERS,...
Five papers representing different frames of reference have the objective of clarifying and highlighting the interaction between individuals and organizations in developing personal careers. The purpose in doing this is to accomplish manpower planning and the management of human resources more effectively and efficiently as a result of greater sensitivity to individual and organizational interests and needs. The emphasis is on managerial and executive careers. Topics addressed include the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *JOBS, *MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND...
Five papers representing different frames of reference have the objective of clarifying and highlighting the interaction between individuals and organizations in developing personal careers. The purpose in doing this is to accomplish manpower planning and the management of human resources more effectively and efficiently as a result of greater sensitivity to individual and organizational interests and needs. The emphasis is on managerial and executive careers. Topics addressed include the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *JOBS, *MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND...
A prototype performance test of intellectual capability (learning ability) was created and given a field trial. Test materials and procedures were designed to be culture-free as possible. Six pairs of random polygons were used as stimuli in a two-choice, multiple discrimination learning paradigm. Variables were racial group (white, nonwhite) and pacing mode (self-paced, machine-paced). Subjects were 121 white and 39 nonwhite male Navy recruits. Over 10 trials (approximately 6 min. of testing...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *LEARNING, *TEST...
Skill deterioration results when learned skills are not utilized due to such factors as broken enlistments, assignments outside of one's specialty, or insufficient training periods in the Reserves. The problems of quantifying the expected skill loss due to nonutilization and the training necessary to restore or maintain effective job performance are examined in a literature search and an analysis of the factors involved. Recommendations are made for a short-range, interim management of the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *NAVAL PERSONNEL, *JOB...
Five papers representing different frames of reference have the objective of clarifying and highlighting the interaction between individuals and organizations in developing personal careers. The purpose in doing this is to accomplish manpower planning and the management of human resources more effectively and efficiently as a result of greater sensitivity to individual and organizational interests and needs. The emphasis is on managerial and executive careers. Topics addressed include the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *JOBS, *MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND...
Five papers representing different frames of reference have the objective of clarifying and highlighting the interaction between individuals and organizations in developing personal careers. The purpose in doing this is to accomplish manpower planning and the management of human resources more effectively and efficiently as a result of greater sensitivity to individual and organizational interests and needs. The emphasis is on managerial and executive careers. Topics addressed include the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *JOBS, *MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND...
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803
Nov 7, 2004
11/04
by
http://www.autobox.com
software
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You can use our data or your own data to create expert forecasts. This program is similar to Autobox 5.0, only without the ability to cut and paste the forecasts to another application. You can still see the forecasts in text and graph form. You also see the entire modeling process and the final model along with an interpretive description of the findings of the modeling process.
Topics: Freefore, Business, Management, Business, FORECAST, FORECASTING, SPSS, SAS, AUTOREGRESSIVE, ARMA,...
Five papers representing different frames of reference have the objective of clarifying and highlighting the interaction between individuals and organizations in developing personal careers. The purpose in doing this is to accomplish manpower planning and the management of human resources more effectively and efficiently as a result of greater sensitivity to individual and organizational interests and needs. The emphasis is on managerial and executive careers. Topics addressed include the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arima,James K, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *JOBS, *MANAGEMENT PLANNING AND...
